Blue Jays at Mariners
Last play · Ben Williamson grounds out softly, pitcher Braydon Fisher to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Mariners0%
TOR 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 1 SEA
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Mariners favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Addison Barger scores. (inning 5) — -29% Blue Jays
7Nathan Lukes singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. George Springer scores.9–1
7Addison Barger homers (1) on a line drive to right field.8–1
6Jonatan Clase doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement scores.7–1
5George Springer homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Addison Barger scores.5–1
4Ernie Clement out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Alejandro Kirk scores. Nathan Lukes to 2nd.2–1
3Dylan Moore homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Myles Straw singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










