Giants at Twins
Last play · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Brooks Lee scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.
Win probability
Twins100%
SF 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 4 – 3 MIN
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Twins favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman David Villar. Ty France scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd. (inning 10) — +42% Twins
10DaShawn Keirsey Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Brooks Lee scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.6–7
10Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman David Villar. Ty France scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd.6–6
10David Villar grounds out, third baseman Royce Lewis to first baseman Ty France. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.6–5
8Heliot Ramos singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton, deflected by pitcher Griffin Jax. Willy Adames scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.5–5
6Harrison Bader grounds into a force out, third baseman Matt Chapman to second baseman Brett Wisely. Willi Castro scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Jonah Bride out at 2nd. Harrison Bader to 1st.4–5
6Royce Lewis singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Matos. Brooks Lee scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Willi Castro to 2nd.4–4
5Byron Buxton out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Kody Clemens scores.4–3
5Jung Hoo Lee out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Willi Castro. Mike Yastrzemski scores.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










