Padres at Rockies
Last play · Jason Heyward strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SD 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 6 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+3.5
Moneyline
reference-310 / +250
Rockies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (6) on a line drive to left field. Brenton Doyle scores. Jordan Beck scores. (inning 1) — +31% Rockies
8Ryan McMahon homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.3–9
8Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Tyler Wade scores.3–8
8Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Alan Trejo to first baseman Michael Toglia. Elias Díaz scores.2–8
7Mickey Moniak doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Hunter Goodman scores.1–8
7Michael Toglia out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Ryan McMahon scores. Hunter Goodman to 3rd.1–7
3Mickey Moniak singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Hunter Goodman scores.1–6
3Hunter Goodman triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jordan Beck scores. Ryan McMahon scores.1–5
1Hunter Goodman homers (6) on a line drive to left field. Brenton Doyle scores. Jordan Beck scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










