Cardinals at Phillies
Last play · Trea Turner lines out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
Win probability
Phillies0%
STL 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Phillies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masyn Winn homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 7) — -19% Cardinals
7Masyn Winn homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
6J.T. Realmuto grounds into a force out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to second baseman Brendan Donovan. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos out at 2nd. J.T. Realmuto to 1st.2–2
6Iván Herrera homers (5) on a line drive to right center field.2–1
4Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to third baseman Nolan Arenado. J.T. Realmuto scores.1–1
4Pedro Pagés grounds into a force out, third baseman Alec Bohm to second baseman Edmundo Sosa. Nolan Arenado scores. Iván Herrera out at 2nd. Pedro Pagés to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










