Pirates at Mets
Last play · Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Francisco Lindor scores.
Win probability
Mets100%
PIT 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Mets favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Ke'Bryan Hayes reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Luisangel Acuña. Jihwan Bae scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd. (inning 9) — -38% Pirates
9Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Francisco Lindor scores.3–4
9Umpire reviewed (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Ke'Bryan Hayes reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Luisangel Acuña. Jihwan Bae scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.3–3
7Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa, deflected by third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes. Luisangel Acuña scores.2–3
7Juan Soto grounds out to first baseman Matt Gorski. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd.2–2
7Bryan Reynolds grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Luisangel Acuña. Jared Triolo scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes out at 2nd. Bryan Reynolds to 1st.2–1
4Jeff McNeil doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Brandon Nimmo scores.1–1
2Isiah Kiner-Falefa homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










