Royals at Astros
Last play · Yainer Diaz flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Astros0%
KC 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 7 – 0 HOU
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Astros favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Massey homers (2) on a line drive to right center field. (inning 2) — -20% Royals
8Cam Smith grounds out, third baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Jake Meyers scores.7–5
8Jake Meyers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Drew Waters. Yainer Diaz scores. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Drew Waters.7–4
7Jeremy Peña out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Drew Waters. Zach Dezenzo scores.7–2
7Zach Dezenzo doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Cavan Biggio. Jake Meyers scores.7–1
3Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Drew Waters scores.7–0
3Jonathan India singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Cavan Biggio scores. Drew Waters to 3rd. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.6–0
3Drew Waters singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Michael Massey scores. Cavan Biggio to 3rd.5–0
2Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










