Angels at Padres
Last play · Fernando Tatis Jr. flies out sharply to center fielder Matthew Lugo.
Win probability
Padres0%
LAA 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 4 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Padres favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Taylor Ward hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Zach Neto scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. Yoán Moncada scores. (inning 9) — -47% Angels
9Taylor Ward hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Zach Neto scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. Yoán Moncada scores.9–5
9Yoán Moncada walks. Jo Adell scores. Zach Neto to 3rd. Nolan Schanuel to 2nd.5–5
9Nolan Schanuel walks. Luis Rengifo scores. Jo Adell to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.4–5
8Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyren Paris. Jackson Merrill scores.3–5
6Taylor Ward grounds into a force out, third baseman Manny Machado to second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Yoán Moncada scores. Jorge Soler out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Jake Cronenworth.3–4
5Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
3Xander Bogaerts reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Yusei Kikuchi. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.2–3
3Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jorge Soler. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










