Pirates at Mets
Last play · Joey Bart grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
PIT 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 1 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Mets favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brett Baty homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — +21% Mets
7Brett Baty homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
6Henry Davis walks. Alexander Canario scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd. Jihwan Bae to 2nd.1–1
1Brandon Nimmo doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jihwan Bae. Juan Soto scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










