Nationals at Braves
Last play · Dylan Crews called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves100%
WSH 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 4) — +27% Braves
8Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Drake Baldwin scores.2–5
6Eli White singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.2–4
5Austin Riley singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Eli White scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.2–3
4Drake Baldwin homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores.2–2
4Amed Rosario singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. James Wood scores.2–0
1CJ Abrams homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










