Red Sox at Tigers
Last play · Javier Báez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Dillon Dingler scores. Jace Jung scores.
Win probability
Tigers100%
BOS 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 3 DET
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Tigers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Javier Báez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Dillon Dingler scores. Jace Jung scores. (inning 11) — +59% Tigers
11Javier Báez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Dillon Dingler scores. Jace Jung scores.9–10
11Kristian Campbell homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Jarren Duran scores.9–7
10Trey Sweeney singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Zach McKinstry scores. Trey Sweeney to 2nd.7–7
10Ceddanne Rafaela grounds into a force out, third baseman Jace Jung to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Nick Sogard scores. Carlos Narváez out at 2nd. Ceddanne Rafaela to 1st.7–6
8David Hamilton homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Carlos Narváez scores.6–6
6Javier Báez homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Spencer Torkelson scores. Jace Jung scores.4–6
5Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.4–3
5Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. David Hamilton scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










