Twins at Orioles
Last play · Gunnar Henderson flies out sharply to center fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
Win probability
Orioles0%
MIN 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 5 – 6 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Orioles favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Willi Castro scores. Royce Lewis scores. (inning 8) — -65% Twins
8Kody Clemens homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Willi Castro scores. Royce Lewis scores.8–6
5Willi Castro homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.5–6
3Heston Kjerstad homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.4–6
3Cedric Mullins hits a grand slam (8) to right field. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Ramón Laureano scores.4–5
3Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Jackson Holliday scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 2nd.4–1
3Kody Clemens singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Brooks Lee scores. Kody Clemens out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Heston Kjerstad to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.4–0
2Trevor Larnach homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jonah Bride scores.3–0
1Harrison Bader singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Byron Buxton scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Willi Castro to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










