Rays at Blue Jays
TB11–
TOR9Last play · Daulton Varsho flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
TB 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 3 TOR
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. George Springer scores. (inning 8) — +73% Blue Jays
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Bo Bichette scores.11–9
9Bo Bichette doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Travis Jankowski. Myles Straw scores.11–8
9Junior Caminero hits a grand slam (8) to left field. Christopher Morel scores. Chandler Simpson scores. Brandon Lowe scores.11–7
9Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Travis Jankowski scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.7–7
8Daulton Varsho homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. George Springer scores.6–7
7Ernie Clement homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.6–4
7Danny Jansen homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.6–3
6With Danny Jansen batting, Taylor Walls picked off and caught stealing 2nd base, shortstop Bo Bichette.5–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.