Angels at Padres
Last play · Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (11) on a line drive to left center field. Elias Díaz scores.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAA 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 2 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -190
Padres favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts walks. (inning 8) — +32% Padres
9Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (11) on a line drive to left center field. Elias Díaz scores.4–6
8Xander Bogaerts walks.4–4
8Gavin Sheets singles on a fly ball to center fielder Matthew Lugo. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.4–3
7Matthew Lugo homers (2) on a line drive to left center field. Jo Adell scores.4–2
7Jo Adell doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Luis Rengifo scores.2–2
5Martín Maldonado out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Yoán Moncada to second baseman Luis Rengifo. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–2
5Jason Heyward strikes out swinging.1–1
1Zach Neto homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










