Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Danny Jansen grounds out, third baseman Addison Barger to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TB 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 TOR
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho scores. (inning 6) — +46% Blue Jays
6Alejandro Kirk homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho scores.1–3
4Kameron Misner singles on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Christopher Morel scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










