Cardinals at Phillies
Last play · Alec Burleson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
STL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 0 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Phillies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to shortstop Masyn Winn, deflected by second baseman Brendan Donovan. Weston Wilson scores. Rafael Marchán to 3rd. (inning 7) — +23% Phillies
7Phillies challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Phillies challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Bryce Harper singles on a fly ball to shortstop Masyn Winn. Rafael Marchán scores. Bryson Stott out at home, shortstop Masyn Winn to catcher Pedro Pagés.1–2
7Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to shortstop Masyn Winn, deflected by second baseman Brendan Donovan. Weston Wilson scores. Rafael Marchán to 3rd.1–1
7Jordan Walker singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Iván Herrera scores. Jordan Walker to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










