Marlins at Cubs
Last play · Nico Hoerner grounds out, third baseman Connor Norby to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Cubs0%
MIA 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 1 CHC
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Cubs favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Stowers homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — -15% Marlins
4Seiya Suzuki homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
4Kyle Stowers homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
4Agustín Ramírez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
2Kyle Stowers homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










