Royals at Astros
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino lines out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
Win probability
Astros100%
KC 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 1 HOU
Royals led after 5
Astros favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mauricio Dubón doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Drew Waters. Chas McCormick scores. (inning 8) — +32% Astros
8Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to left fielder Drew Waters. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–4
8Mauricio Dubón doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Drew Waters. Chas McCormick scores.3–3
6Jeremy Peña doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Mark Canha. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–2
5Maikel Garcia doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Altuve. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.3–1
4Isaac Paredes homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2Jonathan India doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jose Altuve. Hunter Renfroe scores. Drew Waters to 3rd.2–0
2Maikel Garcia homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










