Yankees at Mariners
Last play · Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
NYY 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Mariners favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (15) on a line drive to left center field. (inning 8) — -33% Yankees
8Aaron Judge homers (15) on a line drive to left center field.3–2
7Paul Goldschmidt homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
6Jasson Domínguez doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Leody Taveras. Anthony Volpe scores.1–2
3Julio Rodríguez doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Leody Taveras scores. Leo Rivas scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










