Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Ernie Clement grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
TB 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 5 – 2 TOR
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Lowe scores. (inning 1) — -22% Rays
9Brandon Lowe homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Lowe scores.8–3
8Nathan Lukes homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.6–3
6Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw. José Caballero scores.6–2
5Josh Lowe homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.5–2
4Kameron Misner homers (4) on a line drive to right center field.4–2
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (5) on a line drive to left field.3–2
2Addison Barger homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
2Danny Jansen singles on a line drive to left fielder Nathan Lukes. José Caballero scores. Taylor Walls out at home on the throw, left fielder Nathan Lukes to catcher Alejandro Kirk.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










