Twins at Orioles
Last play · Tyler O'Neill called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
MIN 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 0 BAL
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Orioles favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Royce Lewis scores. (inning 3) — -26% Twins
7Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Willi Castro scores.4–0
3Byron Buxton homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
3DaShawn Keirsey Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Royce Lewis scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










