Astros at Rangers
Last play · Zach Dezenzo pops out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
Win probability
Rangers100%
HOU 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 0 TEX
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Rangers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. (inning 6) — +26% Rangers
6Jake Burger homers (4) on a line drive to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










