Nationals at Orioles
Last play · Emmanuel Rivera flies out to center fielder Nasim Nuñez.
Win probability
Orioles0%
WSH 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 2 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Orioles favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nasim Nuñez singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. José Tena scores. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd. Nasim Nuñez advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by pitcher Félix Bautista. (inning 9) — -33% Nationals
9Nasim Nuñez singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. José Tena scores. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd. Nasim Nuñez advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by pitcher Félix Bautista.4–3
8James Wood homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
6Ramón Urías out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Crews. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd.2–3
6James Wood singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Nasim Nuñez scores.2–2
3Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nasim Nuñez. Ramón Laureano scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd. Ramón Urías to 2nd.1–2
3Ramón Laureano doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alex Call. Adley Rutschman scores.1–1
2Nathaniel Lowe homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










