Mets at Yankees
Last play · Juan Soto flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
Win probability
Yankees100%
NYM 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 6 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Yankees favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Jorbit Vivas scores. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Francisco Lindor. (inning 3) — +23% Yankees
9Francisco Lindor doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Francisco Alvarez scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.2–6
4Jasson Domínguez grounds into a force out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Cody Bellinger scores. Paul Goldschmidt out at 2nd. Jasson Domínguez to 1st.1–6
4Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo, deflected by third baseman Mark Vientos. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.1–5
4Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by third baseman Oswald Peraza. Juan Soto scores. Mark Vientos to 2nd.1–4
3Oswald Peraza walks. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd. Austin Wells to 2nd.0–4
3Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Cody Bellinger scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.0–3
3Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Jorbit Vivas scores. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Francisco Lindor.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










