Rays at Marlins
TB4–
MIA9Last play · Ben Rortvedt lines out to right fielder Jesús Sánchez.
Win probability
Marlins100%
TB 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 5 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Marlins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Derek Hill scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. Agustín Ramírez scores. (inning 4) — +21% Marlins
6Rays challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Eric Wagaman scores. Graham Pauley to 3rd. Derek Hill to 2nd.4–9
6Ronny Simon out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Kyle Stowers scores.4–8
6Eric Wagaman singles on a line drive to center fielder Kameron Misner. Agustín Ramírez scores. Kyle Stowers to 3rd.4–7
6Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kameron Misner. Jesús Sánchez scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd. Kyle Stowers to 2nd. Kyle Stowers advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Kameron Misner.4–6
5Josh Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Chandler Simpson scores.4–5
5Chandler Simpson reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Ronny Simon. José Caballero scores. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.3–5
5José Caballero doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Kameron Misner scores.2–5
4Connor Norby doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Derek Hill scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. Agustín Ramírez scores.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.