Guardians at Reds
Last play · Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
CLE 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 5 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Reds favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Benson homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Gavin Lux scores. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 2) — +26% Reds
8José Ramírez homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.4–5
5Bo Naylor homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
4Carlos Santana singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Steven Kwan scores. Kyle Manzardo scores.2–5
3Austin Hays homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
2Santiago Espinal singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gabriel Arias. Matt McLain scores. Throwing error by shortstop Gabriel Arias.0–4
2Will Benson homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Gavin Lux scores. Spencer Steer scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










