Cardinals at Royals
Last play · Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals0%
STL 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 2 KC
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Royals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Masyn Winn scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Willson Contreras scores. (inning 6) — -28% Cardinals
9Nolan Arenado out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Masyn Winn scores.10–3
9Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Drew Waters. Lars Nootbaar scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.9–3
8Salvador Perez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.8–3
8Jordan Walker singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., deflected by second baseman Jonathan India. Iván Herrera scores.8–2
6Pedro Pagés singles on a line drive to right fielder Drew Waters. Iván Herrera scores. Pedro Pagés to 2nd.7–2
6Iván Herrera doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Masyn Winn scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Willson Contreras scores.6–2
5Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brendan Donovan.3–2
4Vinnie Pasquantino homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










