White Sox at Cubs
Last play · Brooks Baldwin grounds into a double play, second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Nicky Lopez to first baseman Michael Busch. Edgar Quero out at 2nd. Brooks Baldwin out at 1st.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CWS 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 6 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 14.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Cubs favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Moisés Ballesteros scores. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 2) — +26% Cubs
8Nico Hoerner grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Chase Meidroth. Carson Kelly scores. Moisés Ballesteros out at 2nd. Nico Hoerner to 1st.3–13
8Moisés Ballesteros singles on a line drive to right fielder Joshua Palacios. Michael Busch scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.3–12
8Dansby Swanson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Joshua Palacios. Seiya Suzuki scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.3–11
7Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Moisés Ballesteros scores. Nico Hoerner scores.3–10
6Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.3–8
6Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a fly ball to right fielder Joshua Palacios. Nico Hoerner scores.3–7
3Miguel Vargas homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.3–6
2Seiya Suzuki doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Kyle Tucker scores.2–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










