Mariners at Padres
Last play · Tyler Wade strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres0%
SEA 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 0 SD
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.9% · hold 6.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -200
Padres favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rowdy Tellez homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Cal Raleigh scores. (inning 4) — -20% Mariners
9Jake Cronenworth doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Gavin Sheets scores.5–1
6Cal Raleigh homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Julio Rodríguez scores.5–0
4Rowdy Tellez homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Cal Raleigh scores.3–0
1J.P. Crawford homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










