Astros at Rangers
Last play · Jake Burger flies out to second baseman Jose Altuve.
Win probability
Rangers0%
HOU 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 2 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Rangers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Cam Smith scores. Jeremy Peña scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd. (inning 7) — -41% Astros
9Josh Jung homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.6–3
7Christian Walker homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Jose Altuve scores. Isaac Paredes scores.6–2
7Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Cam Smith scores. Jeremy Peña scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.3–2
7Cam Smith doubles (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Jake Meyers scores.1–2
2Jonah Heim singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Josh Jung scores. Evan Carter scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










