Braves at Red Sox
Last play · Rafael Devers homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
ATL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 6 – 2 BOS
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Abraham Toro scores. David Hamilton scores. (inning 8) — +44% Red Sox
9Rafael Devers homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.6–7
8Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Abraham Toro scores. David Hamilton scores.6–6
7Alex Bregman doubles (16) on a fly ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Rafael Devers scores.6–4
7Rafael Devers singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.6–3
4Austin Riley singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Eli White scores.6–2
3Jarren Duran homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Carlos Narváez scores.5–2
3Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Drake Baldwin homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores.5–0
1Marcell Ozuna homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










