Astros at Rangers
Last play · Brendan Rodgers pops out to first baseman Jake Burger in foul territory.
Win probability
Rangers100%
HOU 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 1 TEX
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Rangers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joc Pederson homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 6) — +31% Rangers
7Wyatt Langford homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
7Josh Smith out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jose Altuve. Sam Haggerty scores.1–4
6Joc Pederson homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Marcus Semien scores.1–3
3Wyatt Langford singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Kyle Higashioka scores. Sam Haggerty to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Jeremy Peña.1–1
1Christian Walker doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Sam Haggerty. Isaac Paredes scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










