Mets at Yankees
Last play · Francisco Alvarez grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Yankees100%
NYM 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 2 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48% · hold 6.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -180
Yankees favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorbit Vivas reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Pete Alonso. Jasson Domínguez scores. Austin Wells to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Pete Alonso. (inning 8) — +29% Yankees
8Cody Bellinger hits a grand slam (7) to right center field. Jorbit Vivas scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Trent Grisham scores.2–8
8Paul Goldschmidt singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Austin Wells scores. Jorbit Vivas to 2nd.2–4
8Jorbit Vivas reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Pete Alonso. Jasson Domínguez scores. Austin Wells to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Pete Alonso.2–3
5Juan Soto strikes out swinging.2–2
2Jeff McNeil singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Mark Vientos scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.1–2
1Cody Bellinger doubles (8) on a ground ball to second baseman Luisangel Acuña, deflected by first baseman Pete Alonso. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Aaron Judge scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










