Braves at Red Sox
Last play · David Hamilton lines out to third baseman Austin Riley.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
ATL 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 7 – 4 BOS
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +100
Red Sox favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers hits a grand slam (9) to center field. David Hamilton scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 3) — +48% Red Sox
8Marcell Ozuna homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Riley scores.10–4
8Matt Olson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Alex Verdugo scores.8–4
5Nick Allen out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Ozzie Albies scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd.7–4
5Eli White singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd. Michael Harris II to 2nd.6–4
5Michael Harris II walks. Marcell Ozuna scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd. Ozzie Albies to 2nd.5–4
4Austin Riley singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Nick Allen scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.4–4
3Rafael Devers hits a grand slam (9) to center field. David Hamilton scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran scores.3–4
3Marcell Ozuna singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Matt Olson scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










