Guardians at Reds
Last play · Will Brennan strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
CLE 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 2 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 53.1% · hold 6.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Reds favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Benson homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Stephenson scores. (inning 4) — +22% Reds
7Carlos Santana singles on a ground ball to right fielder Will Benson. Bo Naylor scores.1–3
6Will Benson homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.0–3
4Will Benson homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Stephenson scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










