Astros at Rangers
Last play · Ezequiel Duran called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rangers0%
HOU 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 3 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / -110
Rangers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Meyers scores. Cam Smith scores. (inning 8) — -61% Astros
8Isaac Paredes homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Meyers scores. Cam Smith scores.4–3
7Yainer Diaz homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
4Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Josh Jung scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd.0–3
4Jonah Heim out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cam Smith. Wyatt Langford scores. Josh Jung to 3rd.0–2
4Josh Jung singles on a ground ball to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Sam Haggerty scores. Wyatt Langford to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










