Cardinals at Royals
Last play · Willson Contreras flies out sharply to right fielder Hunter Renfroe.
Win probability
Royals100%
STL 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Royals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Drew Waters scores. (inning 7) — +21% Royals
7Maikel Garcia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Drew Waters scores.1–2
4Dairon Blanco doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Hunter Renfroe scores.1–1
4Alec Burleson homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










