Astros at Rays
Last play · Ben Rortvedt pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes in foul territory.
Win probability
Rays0%
HOU 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 2 TB
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Rays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Danny Jansen homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores. (inning 5) — +28% Rays
7Jake Meyers homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
6José Caballero doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chas McCormick. Yandy Díaz scores.3–3
5Danny Jansen homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores.3–2
2Chas McCormick singles on a line drive to center fielder Kameron Misner. Cam Smith scores.3–0
2Cam Smith doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Jake Meyers scores.2–0
2Victor Caratini homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










