Rangers at Yankees
Last play · Josh Smith pops out to second baseman DJ LeMahieu.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TEX 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 2 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Yankees favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +10% Yankees
9Jonah Heim homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Joc Pederson scores.2–5
8Aaron Judge homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Trent Grisham scores.0–5
6Anthony Volpe doubles (14) on a fly ball to center fielder Sam Haggerty. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd.0–3
4Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Sam Haggerty. Aaron Judge scores.0–2
2Ben Rice homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










