Orioles at Brewers
Last play · Ramón Urías strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
BAL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Brewers favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +17% Brewers
8Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Sal Frelick scores. Throwing error by second baseman Jackson Holliday.2–5
8Rhys Hoskins homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
7Jackson Holliday triples (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Ramón Urías scores.2–3
7Ramón Urías singles on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Ryan Mountcastle scores.1–3
4Sal Frelick homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Rhys Hoskins scores.0–3
3Brice Turang homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










