Braves at Nationals
Last play · Ozzie Albies grounds out, third baseman José Tena to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Nationals100%
ATL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 4 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eli White doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder James Wood. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 2) — -11% Braves
7Nathaniel Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Verdugo. José Tena scores.3–5
2Dylan Crews homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.3–4
2Michael Harris II doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Crews. Eli White scores.3–3
2Eli White doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder James Wood. Ozzie Albies scores.2–3
2Matt Olson homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
1Josh Bell strikes out swinging.0–3
1Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Keibert Ruiz to 3rd.0–2
1Keibert Ruiz doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. James Wood scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










