Reds at Pirates
Last play · Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
CIN 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Henry Davis singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Connor Joe. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Adam Frazier to 2nd. (inning 4) — +13% Pirates
8Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.1–3
4Henry Davis singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Connor Joe. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Adam Frazier to 2nd.1–2
3Austin Hays singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Santiago Espinal scores. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.1–1
1Bryan Reynolds out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Oneil Cruz scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










