Cubs at Marlins
Last play · Graham Pauley flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.
Win probability
Marlins0%
CHC 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 1 MIA
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Marlins favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Matt Shaw scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Kyle Stowers. (inning 8) — -26% Cubs
8Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Matt Shaw scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Kyle Stowers.2–1
1Connor Norby singles on a sharp ground ball to third baseman Matt Shaw. Agustín Ramírez scores. Eric Wagaman to 3rd. Otto Lopez to 2nd.1–1
1Kyle Tucker homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










