Astros at Rays

Scoreboard

HOU4–TB8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

George M. Steinbrenner Field · HOU 25-24 · TB 23-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	7	3
TB	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	·	8	10	0

Last play · Victor Caratini grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Win probability

Rays100%

HOU 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 2 – 5 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-165 / +140

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 1) — -22% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–TB · 8 total

8Yandy Díaz homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Kameron Misner scores. Curtis Mead scores.4–8

8Isaac Paredes homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5

8Mauricio Dubón homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–5

5Brandon Lowe homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–5

5Josh Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.2–4

4Curtis Mead homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–3

1Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Jonathan Aranda scores. José Caballero to 3rd. Chandler Simpson to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Mauricio Dubón.2–2

1Jonathan Aranda singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd. Jonathan Aranda advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Mauricio Dubón.2–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.