Mets at Red Sox
Last play · Carlos Narváez grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
NYM 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brett Baty singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Luis Torrens scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd. (inning 7) — -31% Mets
9Francisco Lindor homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
7Juan Soto out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Luisangel Acuña scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd.4–1
7Brett Baty singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Luis Torrens scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd.3–1
5Jarren Duran out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Nick Sogard scores. Carlos Narváez to 3rd.1–1
2Brett Baty singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Mark Vientos scores. Luis Torrens out at home on the throw, center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela to catcher Carlos Narváez.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










