Mariners at White Sox
Last play · Chase Meidroth grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Leo Rivas. Vinny Capra out at 2nd.
Win probability
White Sox0%
SEA 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 4 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
White Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Leody Taveras homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Leo Rivas scores. (inning 8) — -52% Mariners
8Leody Taveras homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Leo Rivas scores.6–5
7Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Tim Elko scores. Josh Rojas to 3rd.4–5
6Cal Raleigh homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.4–4
4Joshua Palacios homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.3–4
4Lenyn Sosa homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Thaiss scores.3–3
3Tim Elko homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
1Julio Rodríguez homers (9) on a line drive to center field. J.P. Crawford scores. Jorge Polanco scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










