Guardians at Twins
Last play · Harrison Bader flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
Win probability
Twins0%
CLE 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 1 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias walks. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd. (inning 6) — -17% Guardians
9José Ramírez singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Steven Kwan scores.5–1
9Angel Martínez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Trevor Larnach in foul territory. Jhonkensy Noel scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.4–1
8Carlos Santana homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
6Nolan Jones out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Carlos Santana scores.2–1
6Gabriel Arias walks. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.1–1
3Ryan Jeffers singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Willi Castro scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










