Orioles at Brewers
Last play · Eric Haase strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers0%
BAL 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 1 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Brewers favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Sal Frelick scores. Daz Cameron to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Brewers
11Adley Rutschman homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Jorge Mateo scores. Jackson Holliday scores.8–4
11Jackson Holliday singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Heston Kjerstad scores. Jorge Mateo to 3rd. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.5–4
10Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Isaac Collins scores. Jackson Chourio out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Heston Kjerstad to third baseman Ramón Urías to second baseman Jackson Holliday.4–4
10Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Gunnar Henderson scores.4–3
9Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Sal Frelick scores. Daz Cameron to 2nd.3–3
8Heston Kjerstad singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake Bauers. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Emmanuel Rivera to 3rd. Heston Kjerstad to 2nd. Heston Kjerstad advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Jake Bauers.3–2
8Cedric Mullins out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Gunnar Henderson scores.2–2
6Rhys Hoskins homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










