Last play · Cedric Mullins grounds out, second baseman Kristian Campbell to first baseman Connor Wong.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
BAL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
BAL 2 – 1 BOS
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 6) — +21% Red Sox
9Ryan Mountcastle out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jackson Holliday scores.5–19
9Jackson Holliday doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jorge Mateo scores.4–19
8Carlos Narváez doubles (9) on a fly ball to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Rob Refsnyder scores. Trevor Story scores.3–19
8Rob Refsnyder singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Abraham Toro scores.3–17
8Rafael Devers hits a grand slam (12) to right center field. Nick Sogard scores. Kristian Campbell scores. Jarren Duran scores.3–16
8Jarren Duran walks. Carlos Narváez scores. Nick Sogard to 3rd. Kristian Campbell to 2nd.3–12
8Rob Refsnyder homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores. Abraham Toro scores.3–11
8Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Jarren Duran scores.3–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
BAL5–
BOS19