Brewers at Pirates
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes lines out to second baseman Brice Turang.
Win probability
Pirates0%
MIL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 2 PIT
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Pirates favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras scores. (inning 1) — -28% Brewers
9Spencer Horwitz grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.8–5
9Bryan Reynolds doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Oneil Cruz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.8–4
8Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Christian Yelich scores. Isaac Collins scores.8–3
8Isaac Collins singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd.6–3
6Oneil Cruz doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.5–3
6Christian Yelich homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.5–2
4Spencer Horwitz homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.4–2
2Joey Ortiz homers (2) on a line drive to left field.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










