Padres at Braves
Last play · Michael Harris II grounds into a force out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to second baseman Jose Iglesias. Ozzie Albies out at 2nd.
Win probability
Braves0%
SD 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 9) — -45% Padres
9Manny Machado homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2Gavin Sheets homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










